Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 944.719515 1074.307113 1220.849154 1399.990193 1614.641383 1865.562501 2184.009197
2025-01-12 734.243975 894.615142 1093.392261 1362.178248 1722.948145 2200.683962 2899.259314
2025-01-19 618.518166 784.436632 1001.555327 1313.880023 1764.569201 2413.142756 3460.935352
2025-01-26 570.642257 749.988568 996.438030 1371.839262 1952.255024 2858.978168 4482.440070
2025-02-02 526.382140 712.057281 977.614575 1401.976247 2098.207086 3268.135573 5572.347296
2025-02-09 486.387273 674.043172 951.668953 1414.037371 2213.429861 3648.752522 6742.316626
2025-02-16 448.186296 633.727730 916.136417 1403.367333 2285.099734 3964.953767 7901.508781
2025-02-23 426.644306 615.917515 912.641063 1444.006690 2454.067618 4508.666998 9808.660037
2025-03-02 409.307933 602.527047 914.029101 1492.225893 2645.658973 5152.141423 12304.779543
2025-03-09 388.953142 582.108094 901.032843 1511.682265 2782.866252 5715.553475 14921.274052
2025-03-16 366.457081 556.050160 875.426130 1503.279071 2859.213534 6157.162003 17455.591058
2025-03-23 351.554678 541.336091 867.972199 1528.743962 3014.813755 6851.380154 21416.779632
2025-03-30 325.751426 506.689488 822.755525 1475.031543 2984.655391 7053.520976 23737.341023
2025-04-06 303.577438 476.853054 783.945745 1430.276655 2969.470233 7303.169710 26566.032716
2025-04-13 282.908218 448.146806 744.673206 1379.514483 2929.765788 7468.295879 29201.513425
2025-04-20 277.808173 446.724681 756.700835 1441.156704 3191.348731 8704.808972 39269.353802
2025-04-27 269.579912 438.938214 755.587553 1473.303058 3382.828887 9801.802175 50635.021462
2025-05-04 259.904731 427.743919 746.653788 1486.161571 3524.008928 10790.347114 63539.229726
2025-05-11 248.552079 412.625479 728.495225 1474.783792 3592.261168 11530.554079 76385.452544
2025-05-18 243.258532 408.604514 732.645154 1518.129278 3839.205084 13185.200778 104504.908157
2025-05-25 238.916833 406.073689 739.613220 1569.589695 4127.863037 15247.950168 148920.454672
2025-06-01 232.171946 398.376178 734.880517 1590.363021 4321.301053 16993.984594 201554.955452
2025-06-08 223.480494 386.282213 719.635148 1581.390395 4409.620902 18247.279539 256373.896271